TA: Bitcoin Regains Strength, Why Bulls Eye Strong Rally above $40K
Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $ 38,500 resistance zone against the US Dollar. BTC even broke $ 40,000 and it is now correcting gains.
- Bitcoin gained traction above the $ 38,500 and $ 39,500 resistance levels.
- The price is now trading above $ 40,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $ 39,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The pair is correcting gains, but the bulls are likely to remain active near $ 39,000.
Bitcoin Price Turns Green
Bitcoin price formed a base above the $ 37,600 level and started a fresh increase. BTC broke the key $ 38,500 resistance level to move into a positive zone.
The price even broke the $ 39,000 resistance level and settled well above the 100 hourly simple moving average. Finally, there was a break above the $ 40,000 resistance zone. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $ 39,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
The price traded as high as $ 41,395 before there was a downside correction. Bitcoin traded below the $ 40,500 support level. There was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $ 37,678 swing low to $ 41,395 high.
It is now consolidating near the $ 40,000 support zone. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the $ 40,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $ 40,750 level and a connecting bearish trend line.
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
Therefore, a close above the $ 40,750 resistance zone and the trend line might trigger a steady increase. The next major resistance is near the $ 41,500 level. Any more gains could set the pace for a move towards the $ 42,500 resistance zone in the near term.
Fresh Decline in BTC?
If bitcoin fails to climb above the $ 40,750 and $ 41,500 resistance levels, it could start a fresh downside correction. An initial support on the downside is near the $ 49,000 level.
The first major support is now near the $ 39,500 zone. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $ 37,678 swing low to $ 41,395 high. A clear downside break below the $ 39,500 support might lead the price towards the $ 38,500 support.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly losing pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $ 39,500, followed by $ 38,500.
Major Resistance Levels – $ 40,500, $ 40,750 and $ 41,500.